I doubt the ordinary colonising the moon would alter the course of the moon's orbit. All orbiting bodies wobble and shimmy a little bit and change course (a tiny bit) over thousands of years. The real threat would probably come from mass drivers. Shooting ships and cargo into space using a giant electro-magnetic gun might, in the course of a hundred years or so, alter the moon's course enough that it begins affecting the tides.
And I know someone will mention the scene from the The Time Traveler when an accident during mining blows the moon apart. I would like to point out that it's impossible to blow up a planet*, short of using a massive anti-matter bomb. No matter how much force is used, the gravity well where the planet was will just suck all the pieces back in and coalesce back into a planet again. And that's considering that you had several (hundred) million (or billion) Tsar Bomba's inserted directly into the core.
*Yes, I called the moon a planet in this example. I am referring to the way it was formed and the structure it had. A lot of planets would be called moons if they were orbiting around bigger planets. You could even say the earth is one of the sun's moons.
Enough rambling off-track, several bucketfuls of water doesn't excite me. For all the effort to get up there, two people have drinking water for a week or two. Big deal. It's gonna take a lot more than that if anybody expects the colony to live off of moon water. That's not even enough hydrogen to get a return vehicle back into orbit (NASA was hoping that moon water could be used to create hydrogen fuel for ships returning home).
And I know someone will mention the scene from the The Time Traveler when an accident during mining blows the moon apart. I would like to point out that it's impossible to blow up a planet*, short of using a massive anti-matter bomb. No matter how much force is used, the gravity well where the planet was will just suck all the pieces back in and coalesce back into a planet again. And that's considering that you had several (hundred) million (or billion) Tsar Bomba's inserted directly into the core.
*Yes, I called the moon a planet in this example. I am referring to the way it was formed and the structure it had. A lot of planets would be called moons if they were orbiting around bigger planets. You could even say the earth is one of the sun's moons.
Enough rambling off-track, several bucketfuls of water doesn't excite me. For all the effort to get up there, two people have drinking water for a week or two. Big deal. It's gonna take a lot more than that if anybody expects the colony to live off of moon water. That's not even enough hydrogen to get a return vehicle back into orbit (NASA was hoping that moon water could be used to create hydrogen fuel for ships returning home).